Synchronous belt machinery industry future development
Synchronous belt machinery industry future development
近些年，節(jié)能、環(huán)保、減耗成了國家可持續(xù)發(fā)展的主要方向。我國是能源大國，既是生產(chǎn)大國又是消耗大國。資源的高效利用已成為國家發(fā)展的重要戰(zhàn)略。國家的發(fā)展規(guī)劃對(duì)振動(dòng)機(jī)械行業(yè)帶來了重大的發(fā)展機(jī)會(huì)。中央政府在《國民經(jīng)濟(jì)和社會(huì)發(fā)展第十一個(gè)五年規(guī)劃綱要》已明確指出要研制有重大影響的重大技術(shù)裝備，其中包括大型冶金設(shè)備、大型篩分洗選設(shè)備等。振動(dòng)機(jī)械主要運(yùn)用于鋼鐵、電力等能源行業(yè)，并在交通道路行業(yè)也有廣泛應(yīng)用。下面我們就從主要行業(yè)的發(fā)展來預(yù)測振動(dòng)機(jī)械行業(yè)的未來的市場容量，從而對(duì)振動(dòng)行業(yè)未來發(fā)展有一個(gè)比較充分的了解。
In recent years, energy saving, environmental protection, reducing energy consumption has become the main direction of national sustainable development. China is a big energy, is the production of the country is a big consumption. The efficient use of resources has become an important strategy of national development. National development plan has brought significant development opportunities for vibration machinery industry. The central government in the "national economic and social development Eleventh Five Year Plan" has been clearly pointed out the need to develop a major technical equipment major impacts, including large metallurgical equipment, large screen washing equipment etc.. Mechanical vibration is mainly used in iron and steel, electric power and other energy industries, and is also widely used in the transportation industry. We have the following main industry development to predict the vibration machinery industry in the future market capacity, so as to have a full understanding of the future development of vibration industry.
鋼鐵行業(yè)進(jìn)入21世紀(jì)，隨著世界經(jīng)濟(jì)的復(fù)蘇和我國進(jìn)入重化工業(yè)階段，在國內(nèi)外市場強(qiáng)勁需求的拉動(dòng)下，我國鋼鐵工業(yè)實(shí)現(xiàn)連續(xù)5年高速增長。到2006年，全年粗鋼產(chǎn)量已突破4億噸，樹起世界鋼鐵發(fā)展史上新的里程碑。鋼鐵業(yè)的大發(fā)展也為振動(dòng)機(jī)械市場提供了廣闊的發(fā)展空間。
Iron and steel industry in twenty-first Century, with the recovery of the world economy and China's entry into the stage of heavy and chemical industry, strong demand in the domestic market growth, China's iron and steel industry to achieve rapid growth for 5 consecutive years. To 2006, the annual crude steel production has reached 4 tons, up new milepost on the development history of world iron and steel. The development of iron and steel industry has provided broad space for the development of vibration machinery market.
一般行業(yè)經(jīng)驗(yàn)，生產(chǎn)1噸鋼大概需要消耗5.28噸礦石。2005年全國產(chǎn)鋼3.5億噸，需要消耗18.48億噸礦石。礦石進(jìn)口量一般占40～50%，按進(jìn)口50%計(jì)算需在國內(nèi)采購9.24億噸礦石。篩選1億噸礦石需要6億元振動(dòng)機(jī)械設(shè)備，則2005年擁有振動(dòng)機(jī)械設(shè)備55.44億元，按照5年的折舊年限和10%的配件消耗比例，2006年消耗振動(dòng)機(jī)械設(shè)備16.63億元。2006年鋼鐵產(chǎn)量比2005年增加0.7億噸，需新添設(shè)備和配件12.20億元。因此，2006年鋼鐵行業(yè)的振動(dòng)機(jī)械設(shè)備市場需求為28.83億元。
General industry experience, has produced 1 tons of steel consumption of about 5.28 tons of ore to. In 2005 the national production of steel 3.5 tons, 18.48 tons of ore to consume. Ore imports generally accounts for 40 ~ 50%, according to import 50% calculations required in the domestic procurement of 9.24 tons of ore. Screening of 1 tonnes of ore needs 600000000 yuan of mechanical equipment vibration, 2005 has vibration machinery and equipment 5544000000 yuan, according to 5 years of depreciation and 10% parts consumption proportion of consumption in 2006, vibration machinery and equipment 1663000000 yuan. Steel output in 2006 than in 2005 increased by 0.7 tons, 1220000000 yuan for adding equipment and accessories. Therefore, in 2006 the steel industry's vibration machinery market demand for 2883000000 yuan.
2001～2006年，中國粗鋼產(chǎn)量的年均增長速度為23%。由于鋼鐵行業(yè)固定資產(chǎn)投資大幅下降，預(yù)計(jì)中國鋼產(chǎn)能增速下降，預(yù)計(jì)2007～2010年中國粗鋼產(chǎn)量年均增長率為15%。據(jù)此計(jì)算，2007～2010年鋼鐵行業(yè)對(duì)振動(dòng)機(jī)械設(shè)備的市場需求如下表。
From 2001 to 2006, the average annual growth rate of output of crude steel is 23% China. Due to the sharp decline in the steel industry investment in fixed assets, is expected to Chinese steel production capacity is expected to decline in the growth rate, from 2007 to 2010 China crude steel production of 15% average annual growth rate. On this basis, 2007 ~ 2010 the steel industry on the vibration machinery equipment market demand as the following table.
鋼鐵產(chǎn)量(億噸) 4.536 5.216 6 6.9
Steel production (4.536 tons) 5.2166 6.9
振動(dòng)機(jī)械設(shè)備需求（億元） 26.146 35.078 42.35 51.26
Equipment requirements of mechanical vibration (million) 26.146 35.078 42.35 51.26
電力行業(yè)
The electric power industry
2005年全國火電裝機(jī)容量為3.913億千瓦，折算成30萬千瓦火電機(jī)組1306套。據(jù)保守估計(jì)，每套30萬千瓦火電機(jī)組需要1套振動(dòng)機(jī)械設(shè)備。按每套振動(dòng)機(jī)械設(shè)備150萬元算，2005年電力工業(yè)擁有19.59億元振動(dòng)機(jī)械設(shè)備。2006年全國火電新增裝機(jī)容量為0.9276億千瓦，需配套309套30萬千瓦火電機(jī)組和振動(dòng)機(jī)械設(shè)備。原有設(shè)備按5年折舊，易耗配件占設(shè)備價(jià)值的比例為10%，2006年電力工業(yè)約需要新增10.51億元振動(dòng)機(jī)械設(shè)備。
2005 National thermal power installed capacity of 391300000 kilowatts, 300000 kilowatts thermal power units converted into 1306 sets. According to conservative estimates, each 300000 kilowatts thermal power units have 1 sets of mechanical equipment vibration. According to each set of equipment 1500000 vibration mechanical element calculation, the power industry in 2005 with $1959000000 in vibration machinery. In 2006 the national power of new installed capacity of 92760000 kilowatts, the need to complete the 309 sets of 300000 kilowatts of thermal power units and vibration of mechanical equipment. The original equipment by 5 years of depreciation, consumable parts of equipment value ratio is 10%, the power industry in 2006 about the need for an additional 1051000000 yuan of mechanical equipment vibration.
隨著我國經(jīng)濟(jì)的高速增長，對(duì)電力的消費(fèi)也在不斷膨脹。在水電能力不足的大背景下，則只能依賴火力發(fā)電來滿足電力消費(fèi)，從而帶動(dòng)了火力發(fā)電行業(yè)的發(fā)展。2006年我國火力發(fā)電量為23573億千瓦時(shí)，占到全年總發(fā)電量的83%，同比增長了15.3％；而截止2007年7月，我國火力發(fā)電量已達(dá)到15230億千瓦時(shí)，是總發(fā)電量的85%。
As China's rapid economic growth, the power consumption is also in constant expansion. In the big background of hydropower capacity is insufficient, can only rely on thermal power to meet electricity consumption, thus promote the development of thermal power industry. China's thermal power capacity in 2006 to 2357300000000 kwh, accounted for the total generating capacity of 83%, an increase of 15.3%; and in 2007 July, the amount of thermal power generation in China has reached 1523000000000 kwh, is the total generating capacity of 85%.
“十一五”期間，我國將迎來電網(wǎng)建設(shè)的新高潮。2010年我國電力裝機(jī)年均投資5000～6000多億元；同時(shí)電網(wǎng)建設(shè)及改造每年投資也將達(dá)到5000～6000億元。電力及電網(wǎng)投資年均在1～1.2萬億元，與2005年投資水平相比，增長近一倍。
"Eleven five" period, China will usher in a new upsurge in power grid construction. In 2010 China's power installed an annual investment of 5000 ~ about 600000000000 yuan; at the same time, power grid construction and transformation of the annual investment will reach 5000 ~ 600000000000 yuan. The power and the power grid investment annual in 1 ~ 1.2 yuan, compared with the 2005 level of investment, nearly doubled.
另據(jù)國家電網(wǎng)公司的統(tǒng)計(jì)，預(yù)計(jì)2010年我國火電裝機(jī)規(guī)模將達(dá)6.4億千瓦左右，據(jù)此預(yù)計(jì)2007～2010年電力行業(yè)中振動(dòng)機(jī)械設(shè)備市場需求如下。
According to the statistics of the China State Grid Corp, is expected in 2010 China's power installed capacity will reach 640000000 kilowatts, the power industry is expected in 2007 ~ 2010 in vibration machinery equipment market.
火電裝機(jī)容量（億千瓦） 5.64 5.894 6.147 6.40
Thermal power installed capacity (GW) 5.64 5.894 6.147 6.40
振動(dòng)機(jī)械設(shè)備需求（億元） 9.216 9.801 10.38 10.97
Equipment requirements of mechanical vibration (million) 9.216 9.801 10.38 10.97
交通行業(yè)
Traffic industry
中國公路建設(shè)正處在產(chǎn)業(yè)的擴(kuò)張期，面臨著持續(xù)繁榮的契機(jī)。截至2006年底，全國二級(jí)及以上高等級(jí)公路總里程達(dá)到35.33萬公里，比上年末增加1.03萬公里。修筑1公里高等級(jí)公路約需要6萬元的振動(dòng)機(jī)械設(shè)備，所需配件按10%計(jì)算，2006年交通行業(yè)約需要6.80億元振動(dòng)機(jī)械設(shè)備。
Highway construction Chinese is in the time of industry expansion, facing the continuous prosperity. By the end of 2006, the national two level and above the highway mileage of 353300 km, an increase of 10300 km. Construction 1 km highway about vibration machinery and equipment 60000 yuan, required parts is calculated by 10% 2006, transportation industry takes about 680000000 yuan of mechanical equipment vibration.
據(jù)交通部制定的《公路水路交通“十一五”發(fā)展規(guī)劃》的要求，2010年全國二級(jí)以上高等級(jí)公路總里程數(shù)將達(dá)到45萬公里。
According to the Department of transportation of highway and waterway transportation development "" eleven five "development planning" requirements, in 2010 the national two level of high grade highway total mileage will reach 450000 kilometers.
隨著我國工業(yè)化和城市化進(jìn)程不斷加快，國民經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)快速增長，生產(chǎn)技術(shù)水平的不斷提高，預(yù)計(jì)我國公路的修建總里程數(shù)也將快速增長，尤其是高等級(jí)公路的比重也將不斷提升。據(jù)此，我們預(yù)計(jì)2007～2010年全國高等級(jí)公路里程年均增速將達(dá)到7%。按修筑1公里高等級(jí)公路需6萬元的振動(dòng)機(jī)械設(shè)備計(jì)算，未來四年內(nèi)交通行業(yè)對(duì)振動(dòng)機(jī)械設(shè)備的市場需求如下表所示。
Along with our country industrialization and city to speed up the process, the rapid growth of the national economy, the level of production technology continues to improve, the expected number of building the total mileage of highway in our country will grow rapidly, especially in high grade highway proportion will improve. Accordingly, we expect the 2007 to 2010 the average annual growth rate of high grade highway mileage will reach 7%. According to the construction of 1 km highway vibration machinery and equipment 60000 yuan calculation, the next four years traffic industry on the vibration machinery equipment market demand as shown in the following table.
高等級(jí)公路里程(萬公里) 36.73 38.88 42.08 46.28
The mileage of highway (million kilometers) 36.73 38.88 42.08 46.28
振動(dòng)設(shè)備需求（億元） 9.24 14.19 21.12 27.72
The demand of vibrating equipment (million) 9.24 14.19 21.12 27.72
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